Final Hazards Report - Turkey




Final Hazards Report - Turkey


After a semester of research on the hazards of Turkey, the two main hazards I will be discussing in this final blog is mass wasting and earthquakes. 



Scientists have found nearly 45 active slides alone on Mount Akdag, along the Western Taurus range in Turkey. Mass wasting, or landslides, is the movement of earth materials downslope and, although perhaps not as dramatic as an earthquake or a volcano, the results, nevertheless, can be as devastating. Karst, glacial, tectonic and gravitational processes which contribute to mass wasting exist more than a mile high on Mount Akdag. 

The southern slope is the most active, with a slide covering more than three miles, and with a total spread of just over six miles. However, this mountain has a preponderance of landslides which have occurred all around it. High debris which flows down into the river system at the base of the mountain contributes to frequent torrents and flooding and presents a significant risk to tourists and the local population.

Scientists have developed a geomorphological map of the slide using Geographic Information Systems (GIS), to better understand the sedimentary dynamics and help reduce hazards there in the future. Additionally, there is an early warning system, both by observation and with electronic gauges which monitor movement of the earth.


Earthquake survivors look at a collapsed building in Istanbul in August 1999. The magnitude 7.4 quake killed 17,000 people across northwestern Turkey.

Recent earthquakes in Turkey:

 May 22, 1971 - A 6.9 earthquake strikes 410 miles southeast of Ankara. The city of Bingol is nearly destroyed. A thousand or more people are killed, 90 percent of Bingol’s structures destroyed, and 15,000 of its inhabitants made homeless.

September 6, 1975 - An earthquake devastates the town of Lice and surrounding villages. It measures 6.7. At least 2,350 people are killed and 3,000 injured.

November 24, 1976 - A quake of 7.3 magnitude hits Van Province, killing 5,291. The town of Muradiye and hundreds of villages are destroyed.

October 30, 1983 - About 1,340 people are killed and 530 injured when an earthquake hits the Turkish city of Erzurum in the northeast. Measuring 6.9, 50 villages are destroyed in the provinces of Erzurum and Kars.

August 17, 1999 - A quake measuring 7.6 strikes the western Turkish city of Izmit, 90 km southeast of Istanbul, killing at least 17,118 people with nearly 50,000 injured, about 500,000 people homeless and an estimated $3-6.5 billion in damage in Istanbul, Kocaeli and Sakarya Provinces.
Oct 23, 2011 - A 7.2 magnitude quake strikes the city of Van and town of Ercis, some 100 km to the north, killing at least 523 people with hundreds more missing. Turkey’s biggest quake in more than a decade also injured 1,650 people.  

After these devastating earthquakes, recommendations were made to address hazards.

Buildings were slated for strengthening and new construction standards were set. Central to the emergency plan was the designation of hundreds of urban green spaces as evacuation points, where people could escape collapsing buildings and other debris in the event of another large earthquake. But nearly 20 years later, many of those evacuation zones have vanished.

Four high rises loom over an Istanbul park. The land they sit on was designated as an evacuation zone after the 1999 quake but was later sold to developers.  Some Turkish officials have gone further, identifying corruption as a big part of the problem. 

Despite the past, Turkish officials insists it is now working to improve Turkey's earthquake preparedness. But neither the deputy prime minister's office in charge of preparedness, nor Turkey's official aid groups responded to several requests for comment for this story.
Meanwhile, an architect’s union says some 7 million buildings in Turkey are still unsafe, 2 million of them in Istanbul. And scientists say that another large earthquake is likely in Turkey's future. If it happens, people will need someplace safe to go.
 Areas with the most risk.

Turkey has suffered from some of the worst earthquakes in the world. 

Istanbul, with its more than 18 million people is the most vulnerable to earthquakes, sitting near the convergence of three tectonic plates: the Anatolian Plate, the Eurasian Plate and North African Plate. Mt. Akdag, located above a major tourist site in Turkey, is the most vulnerable to mass wasting.


 “With an estimated seven million dwellings in the country, including two million in Istanbul, deemed“ unsafe,” according to the Istanbul office of the Union of Architects and Engineers of Turkey (TMMOB), “there is much work to be done.”

The statement was issued on the 18th anniversary of the 1999 Marmara earthquake, the worst seismic disaster in Turkey’s recent history which killed over 17,000 people.

The group also warned that many areas previously assigned as earthquake assembly areas in Istanbul were now being used for other purposes. In March, the TMMOB revealed that 300 out of 470 such assembly areas were being used as shopping malls and business centers. 

The adjacent map details peak ground acceleration over the past 50 years in the Mediterranean. Without going too deep into science, peak ground acceleration is essentially the measurement of how hard the earth shakes in a given area. When you look at the map, you can easily see that some of the darkest red patches are Turkey. As on most maps, red usually doesn’t equal anything good!

Where would you construct your house in Turkey to avoid these hazards?

If you look at the map above, the yellow spot to the south, directly across from Cyprus, signifies historically fewer earthquakes than most anywhere else in Turkey. This is the area between Anamur and Silike.

If I was to build a home in Turkey, I would choose Anamur, a town and district of the province of Mersin, on the Mediterranean coast of southern Turkey, between Antalya and the city of Mersin, an area known as the Turquoise Coast.. Anamur is Anatolia's southernmost point, a coastal resort famous for its bananas and peanuts.  It is somewhat rustic compared to the sophistication of Istanbul and other metropolitan areas in Turkey; however, that also makes it more affordable.

Here are some photos I found, which look very inviting.


However, although it may be coded “yellow,” as safer with regard to earthquakes, there are other dangers, as well.  It is quite close to the war at the Syrian border and where the refugees may be coming across.  Further, the travel advisories recommend against women alone traveling in Turkey, even to the markets.  Therefore, as beautiful as spot as this is, I think I’ll stay home!

REFERENCES


Comments

  1. Great and compete final report for Turkey! (thank you the images too) I agree with your chosen hazards and your mitigation measures. I hope you enjoyed your research with us!

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